Onthesteel's Blog

Sunday 25th April

A decent day yesterday with Mous of Men (7/2) winning and Mohanad (22/1) filling a deserved 4th spot.

Today there are a few at Bath I like:

2:10 Bath: Barking @ 2/1: Wouldn’t normally tip an unraced colt but this is an interestingly bred horse who could have too much class for these if fully wound up. His sire, Bahri, gets some good 2 year olds but he is by a Pivotal mare and he has plenty of precocity in his genes. The horse is well Richard Hannon’s 2yr olds are flying.

2:10 Bath: Excellentia ew @ 12/1: If the tip doesn’t quite live up to expectations, Andy Haynes grey filly could be one to take advantage. She showed some promise on her debut at Folkestone in a fair race of its type and she looked like she would benefit from the experience. There is speed galore on her sire’s side with 7f/miling on her dams. Her half-brother is a winner in Italy over 6f. She has a decent draw in 5 and if she has come on for her debut, this 12/1 could look big

2:40 Bath: Belgique @ 2/1: Could be a quick double for the Hannon yard with this one looking to have more improvement than the fully exposed Yarra River who has not had the benefit of a run yet this season and no idea if he has trained on. Although some of Dr Fong’s progeny progress, he is mainly renowned as a sire of good 2yr olds so there is some doubt about the Balding runner. Belgique ran really well on his belated debut 9 days ago and the time wasnt too bad at all. He ran really green and can only improve from that.

3:50 Bath: Cool Strike @ 11/4: A very good handicapper who has leading claims in this event if fully tuned up for his reappearance. He progressed really well last year, the highlight of which was a win over 12f at Newmarket off 8lb lower. He then went to Goodwood off this mark and I dont think it was the revised mark that beat him. Manyriverstocross reversed the Newmarket form but Goodwood is a tricky course to handle and the selection was trying 1m6f for the first time. He steps back a furlong today over a course he has already won at.

4:25 Bath: Anglezarke @ 7/4: Should be too good for these, even on his reappearance. Is a Group 1 sprinter by rights and managed a fine 3rd in the Kings Stand last year. Has gone to a new stable, and one that can certainly eek out even more improvement. The only danger appears to the be the progressive filly Tomintoul Singer but 3yr old fillies tend to find it tough against their male counterparts at this time of year and she has to prove she is really a Group Performer having been placed at Listed level

5:25 Bath: Kyllachy Storm @ 5/1: Looks an ew bet to nothing. Looks reasonably handicapped off 70 based on his 2nd here last year off 72. Comes here on the back of a win at Kempton and if he can build on that, back at his favourite course. The high draw isnt the disadvantage that it used to be 5 years plus ago so that isnt too much of a concern. His form figures following his reappearance last year went 3,1,1 with that second win coming here. This year he has gone 4 and 1, so if the trend continues he has shown he can win back to back. If he doesnt do too much to get a decent position I can see him running well.